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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 22 Dec 2024

17:30

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Villarreal Win

25%

Leganes

3.99

27%

Draw

3.73

48%

Villarreal

2.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.2%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 2

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.95

Leganes xG

Total xG

2.38

1.43

Villarreal xG

25%
27%
48%
LeganesDrawVillarreal

3.99

25%

Home win

3.73

27%

Draw

2.08

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

24%

Leganes

4.18

39%

Villarreal

2.59

Win to Nil

6%

Leganes

16.70

19%

Villarreal

5.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 13.2 9.5 4.5 1.6 0.5
1 8.8 12.6 9.0 4.3 1.5 0.4
2 4.2 6.0 4.3 2.0 0.7 0.2
3 1.3 1.9 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.951
λ Away (xG) 1.431
Total xG 2.382
League avg home goals 1.428
League avg away goals 1.162
Leganes attack strength 0.646
Leganes defence strength 1.170
Villarreal attack strength 1.052
Villarreal defence strength 1.030
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 55