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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sat 24 May 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Leganes Win

61%

Leganes

1.63

19%

Draw

5.18

20%

Valladolid

5.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.3%

Draw

2 – 0

7.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.30

Leganes xG

Total xG

3.54

1.24

Valladolid xG

61%
19%
20%
LeganesDrawValladolid

1.63

61%

Home win

5.18

19%

Draw

5.13

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.77

Clean Sheet

29%

Leganes

3.45

10%

Valladolid

9.98

Win to Nil

18%

Leganes

5.64

2%

Valladolid

51.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9 3.6 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
1 6.7 8.3 5.1 2.1 0.7 0.2
2 7.7 9.5 5.9 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 5.9 7.3 4.5 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 3.4 4.2 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.6 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.301
λ Away (xG) 1.239
Total xG 3.540
League avg home goals 1.371
League avg away goals 1.177
Leganes attack strength 0.918
Leganes defence strength 1.227
Valladolid attack strength 0.858
Valladolid defence strength 1.828
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 37