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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

15%

Leganes

6.64

17%

Draw

5.97

68%

Barcelona

1.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 3

7.9%

Away win

0 – 2

7.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Leganes xG

Total xG

3.79

2.61

Barcelona xG

15%
17%
68%
LeganesDrawBarcelona

6.64

15%

Home win

5.97

17%

Draw

1.47

68%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

73%

Over 2.5

1.37

27%

Under 2.5

3.70

52%

Over 3.5

1.92

48%

Under 3.5

2.08

33%

Over 4.5

3.03

67%

Under 4.5

1.49

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.78

Clean Sheet

7%

Leganes

13.65

31%

Barcelona

3.24

Win to Nil

1%

Leganes

90.72

21%

Barcelona

4.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.3 5.9 7.7 6.7 4.4 2.3
1 2.7 6.9 9.1 7.9 5.2 2.7
2 1.6 4.1 5.3 4.7 3.0 1.6
3 0.6 1.6 2.1 1.8 1.2 0.6
4 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.176
λ Away (xG) 2.614
Total xG 3.790
League avg home goals 1.327
League avg away goals 1.259
Leganes attack strength 0.937
Leganes defence strength 1.264
Barcelona attack strength 1.642
Barcelona defence strength 0.947
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 68