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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 18 Jan 2025

15:15

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

12%

Leganes

8.30

19%

Draw

5.21

69%

Atletico Madrid

1.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

12.9%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 1

12.3%

Away win

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.74

Leganes xG

Total xG

2.84

2.09

Atletico Madrid xG

12%
19%
69%
LeganesDrawAtletico Madrid

8.30

12%

Home win

5.21

19%

Draw

1.45

69%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.18

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

12%

Leganes

8.12

48%

Atletico Madrid

2.10

Win to Nil

1%

Leganes

67.36

33%

Atletico Madrid

3.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 12.3 12.9 9.0 4.7 2.0
1 4.4 9.1 9.5 6.7 3.5 1.5
2 1.6 3.4 3.5 2.5 1.3 0.5
3 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.742
λ Away (xG) 2.094
Total xG 2.836
League avg home goals 1.389
League avg away goals 1.171
Leganes attack strength 0.754
Leganes defence strength 1.424
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.256
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.709
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 19 / 57