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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadio de Gran Canaria

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Las Palmas Win

38%

Las Palmas

2.61

26%

Draw

3.89

36%

Valencia

2.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

0 – 1

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Las Palmas xG

Total xG

2.71

1.33

Valencia xG

38%
26%
36%
Las PalmasDrawValencia

2.61

38%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

2.78

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

26%

Las Palmas

3.79

25%

Valencia

3.98

Win to Nil

10%

Las Palmas

9.91

9%

Valencia

11.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 8.8 5.9 2.6 0.9 0.2
1 9.1 12.2 8.1 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.3 8.4 5.6 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 2.9 3.9 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.382
λ Away (xG) 1.333
Total xG 2.715
League avg home goals 1.348
League avg away goals 1.184
Las Palmas attack strength 0.896
Las Palmas defence strength 1.150
Valencia attack strength 0.980
Valencia defence strength 1.145
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71