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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 6 Apr 2025

13:00

Venue

Estadio de Gran Canaria

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Las Palmas Win

44%

Las Palmas

2.27

27%

Draw

3.75

29%

Real Sociedad

3.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Las Palmas xG

Total xG

2.49

1.09

Real Sociedad xG

44%
27%
29%
Las PalmasDrawReal Sociedad

2.27

44%

Home win

3.75

27%

Draw

3.42

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

34%

Las Palmas

2.97

25%

Real Sociedad

4.05

Win to Nil

15%

Las Palmas

6.74

7%

Real Sociedad

13.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 9.0 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 11.6 12.7 6.9 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 8.1 8.9 4.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.8 4.1 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.399
λ Away (xG) 1.088
Total xG 2.487
League avg home goals 1.374
League avg away goals 1.208
Las Palmas attack strength 0.903
Las Palmas defence strength 1.137
Real Sociedad attack strength 0.792
Real Sociedad defence strength 1.128
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67