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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Fri 9 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio de Gran Canaria

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rayo Vallecano Win

36%

Las Palmas

2.78

27%

Draw

3.73

37%

Rayo Vallecano

2.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.2%

Away win

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Las Palmas xG

Total xG

2.53

1.27

Rayo Vallecano xG

36%
27%
37%
Las PalmasDrawRayo Vallecano

2.78

36%

Home win

3.73

27%

Draw

2.69

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.94

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

28%

Las Palmas

3.58

29%

Rayo Vallecano

3.49

Win to Nil

10%

Las Palmas

9.94

11%

Rayo Vallecano

9.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 10.2 6.5 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 10.0 12.8 8.1 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.3 8.0 5.1 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.6 3.3 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.251
λ Away (xG) 1.275
Total xG 2.526
League avg home goals 1.358
League avg away goals 1.192
Las Palmas attack strength 0.937
Las Palmas defence strength 1.267
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.844
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 0.983
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72