Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Fri 24 Jan 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio de Gran Canaria

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Las Palmas Win

40%

Las Palmas

2.53

29%

Draw

3.46

32%

Osasuna

3.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

0 – 1

11.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Las Palmas xG

Total xG

2.22

1.03

Osasuna xG

40%
29%
32%
Las PalmasDrawOsasuna

2.53

40%

Home win

3.46

29%

Draw

3.17

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

36%

Las Palmas

2.80

31%

Osasuna

3.28

Win to Nil

14%

Las Palmas

7.08

10%

Osasuna

10.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9 11.2 5.8 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 12.9 13.3 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.7 7.9 4.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 3.0 3.1 1.6 0.6 0.1
4 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.187
λ Away (xG) 1.029
Total xG 2.216
League avg home goals 1.417
League avg away goals 1.148
Las Palmas attack strength 0.885
Las Palmas defence strength 1.171
Osasuna attack strength 0.765
Osasuna defence strength 0.947
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58