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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

18:00

Venue

Estadio de Gran Canaria

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Las Palmas Win

44%

Las Palmas

2.26

26%

Draw

3.82

30%

Leganes

3.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Las Palmas xG

Total xG

2.58

1.13

Leganes xG

44%
26%
30%
Las PalmasDrawLeganes

2.26

44%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

3.38

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

32%

Las Palmas

3.10

24%

Leganes

4.23

Win to Nil

14%

Las Palmas

7.01

7%

Leganes

14.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 8.6 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 11.0 12.4 7.0 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.9 9.0 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 3.8 4.3 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.443
λ Away (xG) 1.132
Total xG 2.575
League avg home goals 1.384
League avg away goals 1.164
Las Palmas attack strength 0.851
Las Palmas defence strength 1.271
Leganes attack strength 0.765
Leganes defence strength 1.225
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 36