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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 12 Jan 2025

13:00

Venue

Estadio de Gran Canaria

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Las Palmas Win

41%

Las Palmas

2.44

31%

Draw

3.22

28%

Getafe

3.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.7%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.3%

Draw

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

Las Palmas xG

Total xG

1.94

0.85

Getafe xG

41%
31%
28%
Las PalmasDrawGetafe

2.44

41%

Home win

3.22

31%

Draw

3.58

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.63

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

43%

Las Palmas

2.33

33%

Getafe

2.99

Win to Nil

18%

Las Palmas

5.69

9%

Getafe

10.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.3 12.1 5.1 1.5 0.3 0.1
1 15.7 13.3 5.6 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 8.6 7.3 3.1 0.9 0.2
3 3.1 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.095
λ Away (xG) 0.847
Total xG 1.942
League avg home goals 1.409
League avg away goals 1.172
Las Palmas attack strength 0.893
Las Palmas defence strength 1.077
Getafe attack strength 0.671
Getafe defence strength 0.870
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56