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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

15:15

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Valencia Win

28%

Girona

3.56

27%

Draw

3.64

44%

Valencia

2.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Girona xG

Total xG

2.60

1.48

Valencia xG

28%
27%
44%
GironaDrawValencia

3.56

28%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

2.25

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

23%

Girona

4.38

32%

Valencia

3.08

Win to Nil

6%

Girona

15.62

14%

Valencia

6.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 10.9 8.1 4.0 1.5 0.4
1 8.3 12.3 9.1 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 4.7 6.9 5.1 2.5 0.9 0.3
3 1.8 2.6 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.126
λ Away (xG) 1.478
Total xG 2.604
League avg home goals 1.415
League avg away goals 1.150
Girona attack strength 0.607
Girona defence strength 1.380
Valencia attack strength 0.932
Valencia defence strength 1.312
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45