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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Girona Win

56%

Girona

1.80

20%

Draw

4.89

24%

Valencia

4.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.6%

Draw

2 – 0

6.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.17

Girona xG

Total xG

3.55

1.38

Valencia xG

56%
20%
24%
GironaDrawValencia

1.80

56%

Home win

4.89

20%

Draw

4.19

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.51

34%

BTTS No

2.96

Clean Sheet

25%

Girona

3.96

11%

Valencia

8.80

Win to Nil

14%

Girona

7.12

3%

Valencia

36.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9 3.9 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 6.2 8.6 5.9 2.7 0.9 0.3
2 6.8 9.3 6.4 3.0 1.0 0.3
3 4.9 6.8 4.7 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 2.7 3.7 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.2 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.175
λ Away (xG) 1.377
Total xG 3.552
League avg home goals 1.427
League avg away goals 1.125
Girona attack strength 1.141
Girona defence strength 1.257
Valencia attack strength 0.973
Valencia defence strength 1.336
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65