Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

18:30

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sevilla Win

34%

Girona

2.98

23%

Draw

4.35

43%

Sevilla

2.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

2 – 1

7.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Girona xG

Total xG

3.26

1.75

Sevilla xG

34%
23%
43%
GironaDrawSevilla

2.98

34%

Home win

4.35

23%

Draw

2.30

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.55

36%

BTTS No

2.81

Clean Sheet

17%

Girona

5.74

22%

Sevilla

4.54

Win to Nil

6%

Girona

17.13

10%

Sevilla

10.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 6.7 5.9 3.4 1.5 0.5
1 5.8 10.1 8.9 5.2 2.3 0.8
2 4.4 7.7 6.7 3.9 1.7 0.6
3 2.2 3.9 3.4 2.0 0.9 0.3
4 0.8 1.5 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.513
λ Away (xG) 1.748
Total xG 3.261
League avg home goals 1.379
League avg away goals 1.144
Girona attack strength 0.904
Girona defence strength 1.320
Sevilla attack strength 1.158
Sevilla defence strength 1.214
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40