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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Thu 14 May 2026

19:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Girona Win

42%

Girona

2.40

25%

Draw

3.98

33%

Real Sociedad

3.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Girona xG

Total xG

2.81

1.31

Real Sociedad xG

42%
25%
33%
GironaDrawReal Sociedad

2.40

42%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

3.01

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

27%

Girona

3.71

22%

Real Sociedad

4.47

Win to Nil

11%

Girona

8.89

7%

Real Sociedad

13.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 7.9 5.2 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 9.0 11.8 7.8 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.8 8.9 5.8 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.4 4.4 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.3 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.498
λ Away (xG) 1.310
Total xG 2.808
League avg home goals 1.525
League avg away goals 1.159
Girona attack strength 0.870
Girona defence strength 1.061
Real Sociedad attack strength 1.065
Real Sociedad defence strength 1.129
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73