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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sun 30 Nov 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

23%

Girona

4.37

22%

Draw

4.61

55%

Real Madrid

1.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

0 – 1

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Girona xG

Total xG

3.19

1.98

Real Madrid xG

23%
22%
55%
GironaDrawReal Madrid

4.37

23%

Home win

4.61

22%

Draw

1.80

55%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.65

40%

BTTS No

2.53

Clean Sheet

14%

Girona

7.27

30%

Real Madrid

3.34

Win to Nil

3%

Girona

31.75

17%

Real Madrid

6.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 8.2 8.1 5.4 2.7 1.1
1 5.0 9.8 9.8 6.5 3.2 1.3
2 3.0 5.9 5.9 3.9 1.9 0.8
3 1.2 2.4 2.4 1.6 0.8 0.3
4 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.207
λ Away (xG) 1.984
Total xG 3.191
League avg home goals 1.370
League avg away goals 1.134
Girona attack strength 0.874
Girona defence strength 1.338
Real Madrid attack strength 1.308
Real Madrid defence strength 1.008
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51