Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Mon 5 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mallorca Win

36%

Girona

2.80

28%

Draw

3.54

36%

Mallorca

2.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.5%

Away win

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Girona xG

Total xG

2.31

1.16

Mallorca xG

36%
28%
36%
GironaDrawMallorca

2.80

36%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

2.77

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

31%

Girona

3.20

32%

Mallorca

3.17

Win to Nil

11%

Girona

8.96

11%

Mallorca

8.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9 11.5 6.7 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 11.4 13.2 7.7 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 6.6 7.6 4.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.5 2.9 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.153
λ Away (xG) 1.162
Total xG 2.315
League avg home goals 1.359
League avg away goals 1.200
Girona attack strength 0.968
Girona defence strength 1.193
Mallorca attack strength 0.811
Mallorca defence strength 0.877
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71