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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Fri 26 Sep 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Espanyol Win

21%

Girona

4.79

26%

Draw

3.87

53%

Espanyol

1.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Girona xG

Total xG

2.76

1.75

Espanyol xG

21%
26%
53%
GironaDrawEspanyol

4.79

21%

Home win

3.87

26%

Draw

1.88

53%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

17%

Girona

5.73

36%

Espanyol

2.77

Win to Nil

4%

Girona

27.44

19%

Espanyol

5.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 11.0 9.6 5.6 2.4 0.8
1 6.4 11.2 9.8 5.7 2.5 0.9
2 3.3 5.7 5.0 2.9 1.3 0.4
3 1.1 1.9 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.019
λ Away (xG) 1.745
Total xG 2.764
League avg home goals 1.439
League avg away goals 1.175
Girona attack strength 0.650
Girona defence strength 1.528
Espanyol attack strength 0.972
Espanyol defence strength 1.089
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44