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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 1 Mar 2026

20:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Celta Vigo Win

33%

Girona

3.02

29%

Draw

3.42

38%

Celta Vigo

2.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.8%

Away win

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Girona xG

Total xG

2.33

1.21

Celta Vigo xG

33%
29%
38%
GironaDrawCelta Vigo

3.02

33%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

2.65

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

30%

Girona

3.37

33%

Celta Vigo

3.06

Win to Nil

10%

Girona

10.18

12%

Celta Vigo

8.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 11.8 7.1 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 10.9 13.2 8.0 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.1 7.4 4.5 1.8 0.6 0.1
3 2.3 2.8 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.120
λ Away (xG) 1.214
Total xG 2.334
League avg home goals 1.515
League avg away goals 1.129
Girona attack strength 0.861
Girona defence strength 1.082
Celta Vigo attack strength 0.994
Celta Vigo defence strength 0.859
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63