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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 1 Mar 2025

13:00

Venue

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Girona Win

53%

Girona

1.89

22%

Draw

4.50

25%

Celta Vigo

4.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.92

Girona xG

Total xG

3.18

1.26

Celta Vigo xG

53%
22%
25%
GironaDrawCelta Vigo

1.89

53%

Home win

4.50

22%

Draw

4.01

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.57

Clean Sheet

28%

Girona

3.52

15%

Celta Vigo

6.82

Win to Nil

15%

Girona

6.66

4%

Celta Vigo

27.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 5.2 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 8.0 10.1 6.3 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.7 9.7 6.1 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 4.9 6.2 3.9 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 2.4 3.0 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.920
λ Away (xG) 1.258
Total xG 3.178
League avg home goals 1.426
League avg away goals 1.148
Girona attack strength 1.127
Girona defence strength 1.181
Celta Vigo attack strength 0.927
Celta Vigo defence strength 1.195
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63