Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Mon 16 Feb 2026

20:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

18%

Girona

5.52

23%

Draw

4.34

59%

Barcelona

1.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

0 – 2

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.10

Girona xG

Total xG

3.19

2.09

Barcelona xG

18%
23%
59%
GironaDrawBarcelona

5.52

18%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

1.70

59%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.48

Clean Sheet

12%

Girona

8.06

33%

Barcelona

3.01

Win to Nil

2%

Girona

44.46

20%

Barcelona

5.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 8.6 9.0 6.3 3.3 1.4
1 4.5 9.5 9.9 6.9 3.6 1.5
2 2.5 5.2 5.4 3.8 2.0 0.8
3 0.9 1.9 2.0 1.4 0.7 0.3
4 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.101
λ Away (xG) 2.087
Total xG 3.188
League avg home goals 1.503
League avg away goals 1.137
Girona attack strength 0.797
Girona defence strength 1.166
Barcelona attack strength 1.575
Barcelona defence strength 0.918
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61