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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sun 25 May 2025

13:00

Venue

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

33%

Girona

3.06

29%

Draw

3.39

38%

Atletico Madrid

2.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.1%

Away win

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

Girona xG

Total xG

2.15

1.13

Atletico Madrid xG

33%
29%
38%
GironaDrawAtletico Madrid

3.06

33%

Home win

3.39

29%

Draw

2.64

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

32%

Girona

3.09

36%

Atletico Madrid

2.79

Win to Nil

11%

Girona

9.44

14%

Atletico Madrid

7.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.6 13.1 7.4 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 11.9 13.4 7.6 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 6.1 6.9 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.1 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.026
λ Away (xG) 1.127
Total xG 2.153
League avg home goals 1.375
League avg away goals 1.159
Girona attack strength 0.873
Girona defence strength 1.102
Atletico Madrid attack strength 0.883
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.854
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 75