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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

13:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Girona Win

39%

Girona

2.59

27%

Draw

3.66

34%

Athletic Club

2.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Girona xG

Total xG

2.64

1.27

Athletic Club xG

39%
27%
34%
GironaDrawAthletic Club

2.59

39%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

2.94

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

28%

Girona

3.57

25%

Athletic Club

3.94

Win to Nil

11%

Girona

9.25

9%

Athletic Club

11.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 9.0 5.8 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 9.7 12.4 7.9 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.7 8.5 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.1 3.9 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.371
λ Away (xG) 1.273
Total xG 2.644
League avg home goals 1.507
League avg away goals 1.140
Girona attack strength 0.873
Girona defence strength 1.135
Athletic Club attack strength 0.984
Athletic Club defence strength 1.042
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65