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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Tue 23 Sep 2025

18:00

Venue

RCDE Stadium

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Espanyol Win

65%

Espanyol

1.55

21%

Draw

4.78

14%

Valencia

6.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.11

Espanyol xG

Total xG

3.00

0.90

Valencia xG

65%
21%
14%
EspanyolDrawValencia

1.55

65%

Home win

4.78

21%

Draw

6.94

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

41%

Espanyol

2.45

12%

Valencia

8.23

Win to Nil

26%

Espanyol

3.79

2%

Valencia

57.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 4.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 10.4 9.4 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 11.0 9.9 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 7.7 6.9 3.1 0.9 0.2
4 4.1 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.7 1.5 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.108
λ Away (xG) 0.897
Total xG 3.005
League avg home goals 1.458
League avg away goals 1.110
Espanyol attack strength 1.111
Espanyol defence strength 0.975
Valencia attack strength 0.829
Valencia defence strength 1.301
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43