Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 11 Jan 2025

17:30

Venue

RCDE Stadium

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Espanyol Win

39%

Espanyol

2.57

28%

Draw

3.60

33%

Leganes

3.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

0 – 1

10.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Espanyol xG

Total xG

2.38

1.13

Leganes xG

39%
28%
33%
EspanyolDrawLeganes

2.57

39%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

3.00

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

32%

Espanyol

3.10

29%

Leganes

3.47

Win to Nil

13%

Espanyol

7.96

10%

Leganes

10.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 10.5 5.9 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 11.6 13.1 7.4 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.2 8.1 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.0 3.4 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.245
λ Away (xG) 1.130
Total xG 2.375
League avg home goals 1.414
League avg away goals 1.171
Espanyol attack strength 0.833
Espanyol defence strength 1.085
Leganes attack strength 0.890
Leganes defence strength 1.058
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 18 / 18