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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 17 Aug 2025

20:30

Venue

RCDE Stadium

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

35%

Espanyol

2.85

28%

Draw

3.56

37%

Atletico Madrid

2.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.4%

Away win

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Espanyol xG

Total xG

2.34

1.19

Atletico Madrid xG

35%
28%
37%
EspanyolDrawAtletico Madrid

2.85

35%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

2.71

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

30%

Espanyol

3.28

32%

Atletico Madrid

3.17

Win to Nil

11%

Espanyol

9.36

12%

Atletico Madrid

8.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 11.4 6.8 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 11.1 13.2 7.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.4 7.6 4.5 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.5 2.9 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.153
λ Away (xG) 1.189
Total xG 2.342
League avg home goals 1.368
League avg away goals 1.272
Espanyol attack strength 0.955
Espanyol defence strength 0.919
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.017
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.882
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38