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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

15:15

Venue

RCDE Stadium

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

24%

Espanyol

4.09

28%

Draw

3.61

48%

Atletico Madrid

2.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.3%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.89

Espanyol xG

Total xG

2.25

1.36

Atletico Madrid xG

24%
28%
48%
EspanyolDrawAtletico Madrid

4.09

24%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

2.09

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.28

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

26%

Espanyol

3.91

41%

Atletico Madrid

2.43

Win to Nil

6%

Espanyol

16.01

20%

Atletico Madrid

5.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 14.3 9.8 4.4 1.5 0.4
1 9.3 12.7 8.7 4.0 1.3 0.4
2 4.1 5.7 3.9 1.8 0.6 0.2
3 1.2 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.888
λ Away (xG) 1.364
Total xG 2.252
League avg home goals 1.431
League avg away goals 1.161
Espanyol attack strength 0.815
Espanyol defence strength 1.004
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.170
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.762
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 66