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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 3 Jan 2026

17:30

Venue

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Elche Win

46%

Elche

2.19

27%

Draw

3.66

27%

Villarreal

3.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Elche xG

Total xG

2.68

1.14

Villarreal xG

46%
27%
27%
ElcheDrawVillarreal

2.19

46%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

3.69

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

32%

Elche

3.13

21%

Villarreal

4.68

Win to Nil

15%

Elche

6.86

6%

Villarreal

17.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 7.8 4.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 10.5 12.0 6.9 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.1 9.3 5.3 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.2 4.8 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.544
λ Away (xG) 1.140
Total xG 2.684
League avg home goals 1.412
League avg away goals 1.072
Elche attack strength 1.192
Elche defence strength 0.844
Villarreal attack strength 1.261
Villarreal defence strength 0.917
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 54