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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

15:15

Venue

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Elche Win

42%

Elche

2.38

26%

Draw

3.89

32%

Valencia

3.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Elche xG

Total xG

2.71

1.25

Valencia xG

42%
26%
32%
ElcheDrawValencia

2.38

42%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

3.10

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

29%

Elche

3.48

23%

Valencia

4.31

Win to Nil

12%

Elche

8.29

7%

Valencia

13.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 8.3 5.2 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 9.7 12.1 7.6 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 7.1 8.9 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.5 4.3 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.461
λ Away (xG) 1.248
Total xG 2.709
League avg home goals 1.558
League avg away goals 1.134
Elche attack strength 0.961
Elche defence strength 1.154
Valencia attack strength 0.954
Valencia defence strength 0.975
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 68