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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Mon 19 Jan 2026

20:00

Venue

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Elche Win

53%

Elche

1.90

26%

Draw

3.86

21%

Sevilla

4.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.74

Elche xG

Total xG

2.78

1.04

Sevilla xG

53%
26%
21%
ElcheDrawSevilla

1.90

53%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

4.68

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

35%

Elche

2.82

18%

Sevilla

5.69

Win to Nil

19%

Elche

5.34

4%

Sevilla

26.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 6.5 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 10.8 11.2 5.8 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.8 5.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 5.5 5.7 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.4 2.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.739
λ Away (xG) 1.036
Total xG 2.775
League avg home goals 1.417
League avg away goals 1.090
Elche attack strength 1.123
Elche defence strength 1.001
Sevilla attack strength 0.950
Sevilla defence strength 1.093
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 19 / 57