Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sun 23 Nov 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

31%

Elche

3.22

29%

Draw

3.45

40%

Real Madrid

2.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.1%

Away win

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Elche xG

Total xG

2.20

1.19

Real Madrid xG

31%
29%
40%
ElcheDrawReal Madrid

3.22

31%

Home win

3.45

29%

Draw

2.50

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.26

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

30%

Elche

3.29

36%

Real Madrid

2.75

Win to Nil

9%

Elche

10.58

15%

Real Madrid

6.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 13.1 7.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
1 11.2 13.3 7.9 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 5.7 6.7 4.0 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 1.9 2.3 1.4 0.5 0.2
4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.013
λ Away (xG) 1.190
Total xG 2.203
League avg home goals 1.379
League avg away goals 1.105
Elche attack strength 0.799
Elche defence strength 0.852
Real Madrid attack strength 1.264
Real Madrid defence strength 0.920
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 12 / 50