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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Elche Win
50%
2.02
29%
3.48
22%
4.60
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.2%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.5%
Draw
0 – 0
11.0%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.38
Elche xG
Total xG
2.21
0.82
Rayo Vallecano xG
ElcheDrawRayo Vallecano
2.02
50%
Home win
3.48
29%
Draw
4.60
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
65%
Over 1.5
1.54
35%
Under 1.5
2.86
38%
Over 2.5
2.63
62%
Under 2.5
1.61
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.35
57%
BTTS No
1.74
Clean Sheet
44%
2.28
25%
3.99
Win to Nil
22%
4.60
5%
18.35
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.0 | 9.1 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 15.2 | 12.5 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 10.5 | 8.7 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 4.9 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.384
λ Away (xG)
0.823
Total xG
2.207
League avg home goals
1.356
League avg away goals
1.076
Elche attack strength
1.027
Elche defence strength
0.897
Rayo Vallecano attack strength
0.853
Rayo Vallecano defence strength
0.993
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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