Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 7 Dec 2025

13:00

Venue

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Elche Win

45%

Elche

2.21

28%

Draw

3.61

27%

Girona

3.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

10.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Elche xG

Total xG

2.31

0.96

Girona xG

45%
28%
27%
ElcheDrawGirona

2.21

45%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

3.71

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.19

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

38%

Elche

2.62

26%

Girona

3.82

Win to Nil

17%

Elche

5.79

7%

Girona

14.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0 9.6 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 13.4 12.9 6.2 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.0 8.6 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.0 3.9 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.340
λ Away (xG) 0.965
Total xG 2.305
League avg home goals 1.368
League avg away goals 1.133
Elche attack strength 0.905
Elche defence strength 0.938
Girona attack strength 0.908
Girona defence strength 1.082
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 14 / 52