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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

18:00

Venue

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Elche Win

37%

Elche

2.71

31%

Draw

3.24

32%

Getafe

3.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.2%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.6%

Draw

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.04

Elche xG

Total xG

1.99

0.95

Getafe xG

37%
31%
32%
ElcheDrawGetafe

2.71

37%

Home win

3.24

31%

Draw

3.11

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.52

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

39%

Elche

2.59

35%

Getafe

2.83

Win to Nil

14%

Elche

7.01

11%

Getafe

8.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.6 13.0 6.2 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 14.2 13.5 6.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 7.4 7.0 3.3 1.1 0.3
3 2.6 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.041
λ Away (xG) 0.951
Total xG 1.992
League avg home goals 1.516
League avg away goals 1.149
Elche attack strength 0.984
Elche defence strength 1.083
Getafe attack strength 0.764
Getafe defence strength 0.697
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 74