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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 1 Mar 2026

13:00

Venue

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Elche Win

46%

Elche

2.16

24%

Draw

4.10

29%

Espanyol

3.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

Elche xG

Total xG

3.15

1.38

Espanyol xG

46%
24%
29%
ElcheDrawEspanyol

2.16

46%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

3.42

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.60

37%

BTTS No

2.68

Clean Sheet

25%

Elche

3.96

17%

Espanyol

5.89

Win to Nil

12%

Elche

8.55

5%

Espanyol

20.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 5.9 4.1 1.9 0.6 0.2
1 7.6 10.5 7.2 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 6.7 9.3 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 4.0 5.5 3.8 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.8 2.4 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.774
λ Away (xG) 1.376
Total xG 3.150
League avg home goals 1.514
League avg away goals 1.126
Elche attack strength 0.945
Elche defence strength 1.086
Espanyol attack strength 1.125
Espanyol defence strength 1.240
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 25 / 63