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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

15:15

Venue

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Elche Win

39%

Elche

2.58

30%

Draw

3.29

31%

Celta Vigo

3.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Elche xG

Total xG

2.26

1.05

Celta Vigo xG

39%
30%
31%
ElcheDrawCelta Vigo

2.58

39%

Home win

3.29

30%

Draw

3.25

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.15

54%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

35%

Elche

2.85

30%

Celta Vigo

3.35

Win to Nil

14%

Elche

7.36

9%

Celta Vigo

10.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 11.0 5.8 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 12.7 13.3 7.0 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.6 8.0 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.1 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.208
λ Away (xG) 1.048
Total xG 2.256
League avg home goals 1.429
League avg away goals 1.130
Elche attack strength 0.850
Elche defence strength 0.878
Celta Vigo attack strength 1.056
Celta Vigo defence strength 0.995
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 6 / 44