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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Wed 22 Apr 2026

18:00

Venue

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Elche Win

42%

Elche

2.36

26%

Draw

3.79

31%

Atletico Madrid

3.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Elche xG

Total xG

2.56

1.16

Atletico Madrid xG

42%
26%
31%
ElcheDrawAtletico Madrid

2.36

42%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

3.21

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

31%

Elche

3.19

25%

Atletico Madrid

4.05

Win to Nil

13%

Elche

7.53

8%

Atletico Madrid

12.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 9.0 5.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 10.8 12.6 7.3 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.6 8.8 5.1 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.5 4.1 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.398
λ Away (xG) 1.160
Total xG 2.558
League avg home goals 1.548
League avg away goals 1.130
Elche attack strength 0.931
Elche defence strength 1.063
Atletico Madrid attack strength 0.966
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.971
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 31 / 69