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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sun 31 Aug 2025

16:00

Venue

Estadio Abanca Balaídos

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Villarreal Win

34%

Celta Vigo

2.94

27%

Draw

3.70

39%

Villarreal

2.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Celta Vigo xG

Total xG

2.49

1.30

Villarreal xG

34%
27%
39%
Celta VigoDrawVillarreal

2.94

34%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

2.57

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

27%

Celta Vigo

3.66

30%

Villarreal

3.30

Win to Nil

9%

Celta Vigo

10.76

12%

Villarreal

8.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 10.7 7.0 3.0 1.0 0.3
1 9.9 12.8 8.3 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 5.9 7.7 5.0 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.3 3.0 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.194
λ Away (xG) 1.298
Total xG 2.492
League avg home goals 1.366
League avg away goals 1.150
Celta Vigo attack strength 0.889
Celta Vigo defence strength 1.070
Villarreal attack strength 1.054
Villarreal defence strength 0.983
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 41 / 40