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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Wed 23 Apr 2025

18:00

Venue

Estadio Abanca-Balaídos

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Villarreal Win

34%

Celta Vigo

2.98

27%

Draw

3.77

40%

Villarreal

2.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Celta Vigo xG

Total xG

2.56

1.35

Villarreal xG

34%
27%
40%
Celta VigoDrawVillarreal

2.98

34%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

2.51

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

26%

Celta Vigo

3.85

30%

Villarreal

3.36

Win to Nil

9%

Celta Vigo

11.46

12%

Villarreal

8.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 10.4 7.0 3.1 1.1 0.3
1 9.4 12.6 8.5 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 5.7 7.7 5.2 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 2.3 3.1 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.213
λ Away (xG) 1.347
Total xG 2.560
League avg home goals 1.323
League avg away goals 1.253
Celta Vigo attack strength 1.001
Celta Vigo defence strength 0.986
Villarreal attack strength 1.090
Villarreal defence strength 0.916
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 69