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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 3 Jan 2026

13:00

Venue

Estadio Abanca Balaídos

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Celta Vigo Win

50%

Celta Vigo

1.99

27%

Draw

3.73

23%

Valencia

4.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Celta Vigo xG

Total xG

2.56

0.99

Valencia xG

50%
27%
23%
Celta VigoDrawValencia

1.99

50%

Home win

3.73

27%

Draw

4.35

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.98

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

37%

Celta Vigo

2.69

21%

Valencia

4.83

Win to Nil

19%

Celta Vigo

5.36

5%

Valencia

21.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 7.6 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 12.1 12.0 5.9 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.4 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 5.0 5.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.575
λ Away (xG) 0.990
Total xG 2.565
League avg home goals 1.397
League avg away goals 1.071
Celta Vigo attack strength 0.926
Celta Vigo defence strength 1.055
Valencia attack strength 0.876
Valencia defence strength 1.217
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55