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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sat 23 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Estadio Abanca-Balaídos

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Celta Vigo Win

43%

Celta Vigo

2.32

22%

Draw

4.61

35%

Sevilla

2.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

8.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

1 – 2

7.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.92

Celta Vigo xG

Total xG

3.64

1.73

Sevilla xG

43%
22%
35%
Celta VigoDrawSevilla

2.32

43%

Home win

4.61

22%

Draw

2.83

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

49%

Over 3.5

2.04

51%

Under 3.5

1.96

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

70%

BTTS Yes

1.43

30%

BTTS No

3.35

Clean Sheet

18%

Celta Vigo

5.62

15%

Sevilla

6.81

Win to Nil

8%

Celta Vigo

13.06

5%

Sevilla

19.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.6 4.5 3.9 2.2 1.0 0.3
1 5.0 8.7 7.5 4.3 1.9 0.6
2 4.8 8.3 7.2 4.1 1.8 0.6
3 3.1 5.3 4.6 2.6 1.1 0.4
4 1.5 2.5 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.2
5 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.918
λ Away (xG) 1.726
Total xG 3.644
League avg home goals 1.513
League avg away goals 1.142
Celta Vigo attack strength 1.057
Celta Vigo defence strength 1.422
Sevilla attack strength 1.062
Sevilla defence strength 1.199
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 75