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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 19 Oct 2025

15:15

Venue

Estadio Abanca Balaídos

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Celta Vigo Win

43%

Celta Vigo

2.33

29%

Draw

3.45

28%

Real Sociedad

3.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

9.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Celta Vigo xG

Total xG

2.31

1.00

Real Sociedad xG

43%
29%
28%
Celta VigoDrawReal Sociedad

2.33

43%

Home win

3.45

29%

Draw

3.57

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

37%

Celta Vigo

2.73

27%

Real Sociedad

3.70

Win to Nil

16%

Celta Vigo

6.34

8%

Real Sociedad

13.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9 9.9 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 13.0 13.0 6.5 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 8.5 8.5 4.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 3.7 3.7 1.9 0.6 0.2
4 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.309
λ Away (xG) 1.003
Total xG 2.312
League avg home goals 1.425
League avg away goals 1.157
Celta Vigo attack strength 0.840
Celta Vigo defence strength 1.014
Real Sociedad attack strength 0.855
Real Sociedad defence strength 1.094
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46