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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

15:15

Venue

Estadio Abanca-Balaídos

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Sociedad Win

33%

Celta Vigo

3.03

31%

Draw

3.19

36%

Real Sociedad

2.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

14.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

14.3%

Away win

1 – 0

13.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.95

Celta Vigo xG

Total xG

1.94

0.99

Real Sociedad xG

33%
31%
36%
Celta VigoDrawReal Sociedad

3.03

33%

Home win

3.19

31%

Draw

2.81

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.59

61%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

37%

Celta Vigo

2.70

39%

Real Sociedad

2.58

Win to Nil

12%

Celta Vigo

8.19

14%

Real Sociedad

7.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.3 14.3 7.1 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 13.6 13.5 6.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 6.4 6.4 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.947
λ Away (xG) 0.995
Total xG 1.942
League avg home goals 1.410
League avg away goals 1.145
Celta Vigo attack strength 1.107
Celta Vigo defence strength 0.878
Real Sociedad attack strength 0.990
Real Sociedad defence strength 0.606
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55