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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 18 Jan 2026

17:30

Venue

Estadio Abanca Balaídos

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Celta Vigo Win

57%

Celta Vigo

1.75

25%

Draw

3.96

18%

Rayo Vallecano

5.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Celta Vigo xG

Total xG

2.70

0.91

Rayo Vallecano xG

57%
25%
18%
Celta VigoDrawRayo Vallecano

1.75

57%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

5.70

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

40%

Celta Vigo

2.47

17%

Rayo Vallecano

6.03

Win to Nil

23%

Celta Vigo

4.33

3%

Rayo Vallecano

34.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 6.1 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 12.0 10.9 4.9 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.8 9.8 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 6.5 5.9 2.7 0.8 0.2
4 2.9 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.796
λ Away (xG) 0.906
Total xG 2.702
League avg home goals 1.403
League avg away goals 1.107
Celta Vigo attack strength 1.101
Celta Vigo defence strength 1.032
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.793
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 1.162
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57