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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

18:00

Venue

Estadio Abanca-Balaídos

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Celta Vigo Win

48%

Celta Vigo

2.10

26%

Draw

3.77

26%

Rayo Vallecano

3.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

2 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Celta Vigo xG

Total xG

2.44

0.99

Rayo Vallecano xG

48%
26%
26%
Celta VigoDrawRayo Vallecano

2.10

48%

Home win

3.77

26%

Draw

3.87

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

37%

Celta Vigo

2.70

23%

Rayo Vallecano

4.26

Win to Nil

18%

Celta Vigo

5.66

6%

Rayo Vallecano

16.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 8.6 4.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 12.6 12.5 6.2 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.1 9.1 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.4 4.4 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 1.6 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.450
λ Away (xG) 0.993
Total xG 2.443
League avg home goals 1.384
League avg away goals 1.164
Celta Vigo attack strength 1.185
Celta Vigo defence strength 1.006
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.847
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 0.884
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74