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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

13:00

Venue

Estadio Abanca-Balaídos

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Celta Vigo Win

62%

Celta Vigo

1.63

23%

Draw

4.34

15%

Leganes

6.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.7%

Home win

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

Celta Vigo xG

Total xG

2.49

0.74

Leganes xG

62%
23%
15%
Celta VigoDrawLeganes

1.63

62%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

6.47

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

48%

Celta Vigo

2.10

17%

Leganes

5.75

Win to Nil

29%

Celta Vigo

3.41

3%

Leganes

37.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 6.1 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 14.5 10.7 4.0 1.0 0.2
2 12.7 9.4 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 7.4 5.5 2.0 0.5 0.1
4 3.2 2.4 0.9 0.2
5 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.750
λ Away (xG) 0.742
Total xG 2.492
League avg home goals 1.446
League avg away goals 1.133
Celta Vigo attack strength 1.110
Celta Vigo defence strength 0.949
Leganes attack strength 0.690
Leganes defence strength 1.091
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 26