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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Mon 31 Mar 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Abanca-Balaídos

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Celta Vigo Win

58%

Celta Vigo

1.74

23%

Draw

4.38

20%

Las Palmas

5.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Celta Vigo xG

Total xG

2.77

0.96

Las Palmas xG

58%
23%
20%
Celta VigoDrawLas Palmas

1.74

58%

Home win

4.38

23%

Draw

5.10

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

38%

Celta Vigo

2.61

16%

Las Palmas

6.15

Win to Nil

22%

Celta Vigo

4.53

3%

Las Palmas

31.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 6.0 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 11.3 10.9 5.2 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.3 9.9 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 6.2 6.0 2.9 0.9 0.2
4 2.8 2.7 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.817
λ Away (xG) 0.958
Total xG 2.775
League avg home goals 1.431
League avg away goals 1.173
Celta Vigo attack strength 1.116
Celta Vigo defence strength 0.946
Las Palmas attack strength 0.864
Las Palmas defence strength 1.137
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66