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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

13:00

Venue

Estadio Abanca Balaídos

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Celta Vigo Win

50%

Celta Vigo

1.98

25%

Draw

4.02

25%

Girona

4.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Celta Vigo xG

Total xG

2.66

1.05

Girona xG

50%
25%
25%
Celta VigoDrawGirona

1.98

50%

Home win

4.02

25%

Draw

4.05

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

35%

Celta Vigo

2.85

20%

Girona

5.01

Win to Nil

18%

Celta Vigo

5.66

5%

Girona

20.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 7.3 3.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 11.3 11.8 6.2 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.1 9.5 5.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 4.9 5.1 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 2.0 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.611
λ Away (xG) 1.049
Total xG 2.660
League avg home goals 1.361
League avg away goals 1.127
Celta Vigo attack strength 0.878
Celta Vigo defence strength 1.065
Girona attack strength 0.874
Girona defence strength 1.348
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 41