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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 3 May 2026

13:00

Venue

Estadio Abanca Balaídos

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Celta Vigo Win

50%

Celta Vigo

2.00

22%

Draw

4.47

28%

Elche

3.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

7.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.89

Celta Vigo xG

Total xG

3.26

1.36

Elche xG

50%
22%
28%
Celta VigoDrawElche

2.00

50%

Home win

4.47

22%

Draw

3.61

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.72

Clean Sheet

26%

Celta Vigo

3.91

15%

Elche

6.63

Win to Nil

13%

Celta Vigo

7.84

4%

Elche

23.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 5.3 3.6 1.6 0.6 0.2
1 7.3 9.9 6.8 3.1 1.1 0.3
2 6.9 9.4 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 4.4 5.9 4.0 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 2.1 2.8 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.892
λ Away (xG) 1.364
Total xG 3.256
League avg home goals 1.543
League avg away goals 1.167
Celta Vigo attack strength 0.978
Celta Vigo defence strength 1.312
Elche attack strength 0.891
Elche defence strength 1.254
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 33