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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Abanca Balaídos

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

34%

Celta Vigo

2.96

29%

Draw

3.40

37%

Atletico Madrid

2.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.1%

Away win

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.10

Celta Vigo xG

Total xG

2.27

1.16

Atletico Madrid xG

34%
29%
37%
Celta VigoDrawAtletico Madrid

2.96

34%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

2.72

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

31%

Celta Vigo

3.20

33%

Atletico Madrid

3.01

Win to Nil

11%

Celta Vigo

9.47

12%

Atletico Madrid

8.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 12.1 7.0 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 11.4 13.3 7.7 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 6.3 7.3 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.3 2.7 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.102
λ Away (xG) 1.163
Total xG 2.265
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.141
Celta Vigo attack strength 0.823
Celta Vigo defence strength 1.042
Atletico Madrid attack strength 0.979
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.910
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45