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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

17:30

Venue

Camp Nou

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

77%

Barcelona

1.29

15%

Draw

6.73

8%

Real Sociedad

13.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.68

Barcelona xG

Total xG

3.44

0.76

Real Sociedad xG

77%
15%
BarcelonaDrawReal Sociedad

1.29

77%

Home win

6.73

15%

Draw

13.02

8%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

47%

Barcelona

2.14

7%

Real Sociedad

14.57

Win to Nil

36%

Barcelona

2.76

1%

Real Sociedad

189.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 2.4 0.9 0.2
1 8.6 6.5 2.5 0.6 0.1
2 11.5 8.8 3.3 0.8 0.2
3 10.3 7.8 3.0 0.8 0.1
4 6.9 5.2 2.0 0.5 0.1
5 3.7 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.679
λ Away (xG) 0.761
Total xG 3.440
League avg home goals 1.438
League avg away goals 1.130
Barcelona attack strength 1.668
Barcelona defence strength 0.801
Real Sociedad attack strength 0.841
Real Sociedad defence strength 1.117
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44